There
are four traps buyers and sellers fall into in assembling the value of a business.
As a result, they end up paying more than they should, or expecting too much
if they are selling. The "comparison game" is first. This assumes
that because someone paid a certain price for a particular type of business,
that all similar businesses with the same profits will fetch that price.
If a hardware store with net profits of R10 000 a month was sold for R250 000,
every other similar venture with that sort of profitability should sell for
R250 000. Nonsense. Appreciate that each business operates within its own economic
environment and although profit levels might be the same, that could be all
that is. The first may have been going for five years, the other five months.
One works long hours, 7 days a week, the other a 5 day week.
Another variable is the turnover multiplier, particularly pertinent in food
businesses, like supermarkets or tea rooms. The myth is that price is calculated
at three or four times monthly turnover. So a store doing R100 000 sales would
have a price tag of R300 000 or R400 000 plus stock. Service stations also go
wrong here. Value here is often put at monthly literage multiplied by R1,50
or R2. That would mean a station pumping 200 000 litres a month would go for
between R300 000 and R600 000 plus stock. The flaw is that the concentration
is on the wrong end. Just because the sales volumes of two supermarkets or garages
are the same, does not mean their profits are identical. One could have a much
higher rental than the other or a large amount to pay off on leases or instalment
purchase agreements.
Hours and wages bills may vary substantially and hence bottom line. Another
myth is that you've got a good buy if you knock the seller down 10% or 15%.
But, most sellers inflate their price anyway hoping to catch a sucker. So, you
end up paying what it's worth anyway.
The time to knock the price down, is once the seller has been forced to bring
it back to earth because the business won't sell. One important myth is the
"tangible asset" myth, which says if you pay the asset value for a
going concern you've done well. Remember, a business needs profits before assets
represent any value.
You could sell off the machinery, you argue. Bear in mind in a forced sale,
you never get your price for equipment and surely the reason for buying a business
is to make a profit every month, not just a one off sale profit.
Mike Hindle of Aldes Business Brokers, www.aldes.co.za
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